← GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Fire OblationTier 1

at GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship

decks
1 (4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 1-1-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4% avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1171 · median 1171 · range 1171–1171 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010 Q1 1188 Q3 1412 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Luxem Zander 12.5% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 8.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 8.3% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 8.3% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 8.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.8% +1.7
Fire Aggro 4.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.2% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ciel 4.2% 0
Water Allies 4.2% 0
Water Astra Ranger 4.2% 0
Water Fractal 4.2% 0
Water Genbu 4.2% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.2% 0
Wind Byakko 4.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -2.4
Wind Overlord 4.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/34321/archetypes/Fire Oblation